Well. Here we are. Finally. The 2011 American Idol finale - Performance Night. First off, I have been battling some health issues (won't disclose unless it turns out to be at least somewhat serious because it's way too much information) so my blogs have dropped in activity the past few days as a result. I still have some blogs to write and post.
Still need to do the following posts:
* Updated Himay Co. Services + Rates
* What's Wrong With American Idol (And How To Fix It)
* The Future of The Music Industry: A Quick Look
* Himay Co.'s Favorite Season 10 Idols
And of course I'll be writing a post-performance night and post-finale blog about this year's American Idol two night conclusion starting tonight. Speaking of which...
There is no doubt that this looks like a very boring American Idol finale going into tonight. This definitely is the Country Idol finale. Can't see Lauren Alaina pulling the upset tonight unless it turns out that Scotty's runaway season campaign is really more of a final two Pia Toscano-like mirage. As we all remember, Pia Toscano was a lot of peoples' pick to win it all until it turned out she never had quite the voting support steam to really win the whole thing. It would take that kind of revelation tonight in order to derail not just a Scotty McCreery win but a Scotty McCreery rout of Lauren Alaina. Still, the country support will be very strong and if Lauren's supporters vote in high numbers then it could very well be more up for grabs than initially anticipated. That would be extra true if Scotty's fans sit on their hands. The bad news for Lauren, however, is that if this truly is Scotty's title to win or lose then a fellow country singer will probably keep Scotty's supporters from remaining complacent. Still, it's also possible that they have become too overconfident, even arrogant, that they will inadvertently shift the momentum to Lauren at the last minute tonight to win it for her.
Going into tonight, however, I just don't see it. All those things are very possible of course but smart money still points to a Scotty McCreery coronation Wednesday Night. They already have announced the first singles they will release and Lauren's is supposedly a Kristy Lee Cook cover. We will see what will happen tonight and tomorrow night. Other important Season 10 finale intel for tonight also indicates that Season 4 winner Carrie Underwood will pick a song for Lauren Alaina and George Strait will pick a song for Scotty McCreery as well as both of them singing a song they have already performed this season.
One thing we do know is that the reigning American Idol winner will not be on hand to pass the torch. Not only that, but as Lyndsey Parker also predicts, that her own pick this year will not outsell her predicted runner-up in the long run. We'll see if Lyndsey turns out to be right. She does predict a much, much tighter race than everyone seems to believe it will be and she might very well be right. Read the blog; it's a good one - as usual. We both still think it's Scotty's to win or lose. One contestant who is already preparing to launch a single is fan favorite Pia Toscano. Ryan Seacrest broke this news today on his radio program but how will her Season 10 contemporaries do?
Himay Co. asked that question of MTV producer Jim Cantiello on this American Idol website and once the transcript becomes available I will post what I asked him because he initially squirmed at the question. I will try to have it up by Wednesday afternoon or evening. It also depends on the news I get from the doctor and the severity of the news. Obviously if it is not good news then I will not be in too much of a mood to discuss unless I choose to vent instead.
Regardless, my prediction is still for Scotty McCreery to take it. It might be closer than anticipated, but unless he stumbles and Lauren Alaina is good enough, and I do believe she has to be near flawless tonight as well in all likelihood, then Scotty will have to lock 'em doors from all his female supporters trying to kick them down just to get a piece of him. I do think that Lauren will have more of a career than people think; whether or not Ms. Parker's assertion turns out to be true remains to be seen but I do think she'll be able to stay in music for a living at worst. At least one of them could, if not will, become a country superstar. Unlike some of the other genres, country is so strong that it has plenty of room for one or two more stars in its stable.
I do think Scotty deserves to win much more than Lauren. Scotty has been more consistent, hasn't stumbled, hasn't beaten himself up over details, hasn't made the same level of mistakes and then beaten himself up over it, and is clearly more mature and stardom ready than Lauren. However, if Steven Tyler's anointed "The One" performs very well and Scotty is either substandard and/or his fans get complacent, then anything can still happen.
We'll see.
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